Al Merreikh 45%Draw 11%Horoya 44%Expected goals 0.76 – 0.74
93%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Merreikh to win ✓45% · fair 2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.91
Al Merreikh vs Horoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the CAF Champions League brings Al Merreikh against Horoya at Al Merreikh Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Al Merreikh, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Horoya, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Horoya, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Merreikh, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Horoya 1–0 Al Merreikh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Merreikh 0.8 xG, Horoya 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Merreikh 45%, draw 11%, Horoya 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Merreikh 0–0 Horoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Merreikh45%fair 2.22
Draw11%fair 9.09
Horoya44%fair 2.27
1.50Expected goals
0.76Al Merreikh xG
0.74Horoya xG
35%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–017%
0–117%
1–113%
2–06%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Merreikh 0.8 – 0.7 Horoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Al Merreikh have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Horoya 44%.
How many goals will there be in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
Our predicted score is Al Merreikh 0–0 Horoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
Al Merreikh vs Horoya (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Merreikh Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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