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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Perth Glory v Adelaide United: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Perth Glory 41%Draw 20%Adelaide United 39% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.36
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Adelaide United to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPerth Glory to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Perth Glory v Adelaide United in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Perth Glory, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Adelaide United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Adelaide United, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Perth Glory, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Perth Glory, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Adelaide United.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Perth Glory 2–0 Adelaide United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Perth Glory 1 win, Adelaide United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Perth Glory 1.4 xG, Adelaide United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Perth Glory 41%, draw 20%, Adelaide United 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Adelaide United to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perth Glory 1–1 Adelaide United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Perth Glory41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Adelaide United39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
2.75Expected goals
1.39Perth Glory xG
1.36Adelaide United xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Perth Glory 1.4 – 1.4 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPerth Glory to win ✗41%2.462.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.55
Draw no betPerth Glory (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapAdelaide United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scorePerth Glory to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Perth Glory / FT Perth Glory ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Perth Glory – last 6

WDDWDD
27 Sepvs Adelaide United2–0W
21 Jul@ Lions0–0D
18 Apr@ Sydney0–0D
12 Aprvs Macarthur3–1W
4 Apr@ Central Coast Mariners2–2D
22 Marvs Melbourne City1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Adelaide United – last 6

LWLLLD
27 Sep@ Perth Glory0–2L
17 Sepvs Wofoo Tai Po3–0W
11 Augvs Công An Nhân Dân0–2L
30 Jul@ South Melbourne1–2L
15 Mayvs Auckland0–3L
9 May@ Auckland1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Perth Glory v Adelaide United2–0
20 Feb 2026Adelaide United v Perth Glory4–0
Perth Glory vs Adelaide United head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

On our numbers Perth Glory have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Adelaide United 39%.

How many goals will there be in Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Our predicted score is Perth Glory 1–1 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.