Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.22 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaykan to win ✗42% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.99
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Paykan against Shams Azar Qazvin. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Paykan are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Paykan, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Esteghlal FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shams Azar Qazvin, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gol Gohar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paykan 1.1 xG, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paykan 42%, draw 23%, Shams Azar Qazvin 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.22.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paykan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paykan42%fair 2.36 · @2.11
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.99
Shams Azar Qazvin34%fair 2.92 · @3.32
1.97Expected goals
1.06Paykan xG
0.91Shams Azar Qazvin xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Paykan 1.1 – 0.9 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paykan to win✗
42%
2.36
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.22 ▲
Draw no bet
Paykan (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Shams Azar Qazvin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Paykan to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.99
–
Recent results
Paykan – last 6
LWLDWD
10 Sep
@ Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sanat Naft
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ ZOB Ahan
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Gol Gohar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
LLDWDD
10 Sep
vs Gol Gohar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Chadormalu SC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Foolad FC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paykan and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Paykan have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shams Azar Qazvin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Paykan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
