Value bet: Kheybar Khorramabad to win @ 2.44 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKheybar Khorramabad to win ✓45% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kheybar Khorramabad welcome Esteghlal Khuzestan to Takhti Stadium for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Sunday 18 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Kheybar Khorramabad are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Esteghlal Khuzestan are 13th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kheybar Khorramabad, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Persepolis FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Esteghlal Khuzestan, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gol Gohar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kheybar Khorramabad 1.2 xG, Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kheybar Khorramabad 45%, draw 26%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 28%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.41.
Price worth noting: Kheybar Khorramabad to win @2.44 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kheybar Khorramabad 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kheybar Khorramabad45%fair 2.22 · @2.44
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.60
Esteghlal Khuzestan28%fair 3.51 · @3.08
2.02Expected goals
1.17Kheybar Khorramabad xG
0.85Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kheybar Khorramabad 1.2 – 0.8 Esteghlal Khuzestan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kheybar Khorramabad to win✓
45%
2.22
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.37
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.41
Draw no bet
Kheybar Khorramabad (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal Khuzestan +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.79
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.23
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Kheybar Khorramabad to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kheybar Khorramabad / FT Kheybar Khorramabad✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Recent results
Kheybar Khorramabad – last 6
DDLWDL
14 Oct
vs Persepolis FC
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Foolad FC
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Aluminium Arak
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Paykan
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 6
LWLDDD
8 Oct
@ Gol Gohar
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sepahan FC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Paykan
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kheybar Khorramabad and Esteghlal Khuzestan.
What is the prediction for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
On our numbers Kheybar Khorramabad have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Esteghlal Khuzestan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our predicted score is Kheybar Khorramabad 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Takhti Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
