Value bet: Aluminium Arak to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAluminium Arak to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceAluminium Arak or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Friday 23 October: Aluminium Arak v ZOB Ahan in the Persian Gulf Pro League, played at Imam Khomeini. In the table, Aluminium Arak are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; ZOB Ahan are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Aluminium Arak, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sanat Naft, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
ZOB Ahan, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chadormalu SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminium Arak 1.4 xG, ZOB Ahan 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminium Arak 60%, draw 23%, ZOB Ahan 17%.
Lower-risk option: Aluminium Arak or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Aluminium Arak to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminium Arak 1–0 ZOB Ahan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminium Arak60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.85
ZOB Ahan17%fair 5.94 · @4.15
1.94Expected goals
1.39Aluminium Arak xG
0.55ZOB Ahan xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.4 – 0.5 ZOB Ahan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminium Arak to win✗
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Aluminium Arak or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.44
Draw no bet
Aluminium Arak (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
ZOB Ahan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.64
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.05
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Aluminium Arak to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.00
–
Recent results
Aluminium Arak – last 6
LLDDWD
17 Oct
@ Sanat Naft
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ Fajr Sepasi
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Malavan
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Esteghlal FC
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Gol Gohar
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ZOB Ahan – last 6
LLDLWD
18 Oct
vs Chadormalu SC
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Sepahan FC
1–2
L
8 Oct
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Persepolis FC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Paykan
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Fajr Sepasi
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and ZOB Ahan.
What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan?
On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ZOB Ahan 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan?
Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 ZOB Ahan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan?
Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
