Both teams scoreNot both teams to score66% · fair 1.52
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals65% · @1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–023% · fair 4.44
Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Esteghlal FC welcome Shams Azar Qazvin to Azadi Stadium for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Friday 30 October (15:15 WAT). In the table, Esteghlal FC are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shams Azar Qazvin, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Esteghlal Khuzestan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Esteghlal FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Shams Azar Qazvin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 1.6 xG, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 70%, draw 20%, Shams Azar Qazvin 9%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Esteghlal FC to win (70%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC70%fair 1.42 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.79
Shams Azar Qazvin9%fair 10.55 · @8.00
1.96Expected goals
1.61Esteghlal FC xG
0.36Shams Azar Qazvin xG
34%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.6 – 0.4 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win
70%
1.42
1.39
Double chance
Esteghlal FC or draw
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
66%
1.52
–
Draw no bet
Esteghlal FC (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Esteghlal FC to score first
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
23%
4.44
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 6
LDDWDW
27 Oct
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Gol Gohar
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al Sadd
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
LDDLLD
25 Oct
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Paykan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Gol Gohar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Chadormalu SC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Esteghlal FC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Shams Azar Qazvin 9%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
