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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aluminium Arak v Mes Shahr-e Babak: numbers & prediction

Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran · Imam Khomeini
1–0
FT
Aluminium Arak 66%Draw 20%Mes Shahr-e Babak 14% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.49
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAluminium Arak to win ✓66% · @1.43
Double chanceAluminium Arak or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.01

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aluminium Arak welcome Mes Shahr-e Babak to Imam Khomeini for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Friday 6 November (13:00 WAT). In the table, Aluminium Arak are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Mes Shahr-e Babak are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aluminium Arak, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Foolad FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Mes Shahr-e Babak, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Paykan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aluminium Arak 1.6 xG, Mes Shahr-e Babak 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminium Arak 66%, draw 20%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminium Arak 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aluminium Arak66%fair 1.51 · @1.43
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.32
Mes Shahr-e Babak14%fair 7.39 · @8.50
2.06Expected goals
1.57Aluminium Arak xG
0.49Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.6 – 0.5 Mes Shahr-e Babak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAluminium Arak to win ✓66%1.511.43
Double chanceAluminium Arak or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.681.25
Draw no betAluminium Arak (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapAluminium Arak -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.731.69
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.171.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreAluminium Arak to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%5.01–

Recent results

Aluminium Arak – last 6

LDLLDD
30 Oct@ Foolad FC0–1L
23 Octvs ZOB Ahan0–0D
17 Oct@ Sanat Naft1–2L
13 Oct@ Fajr Sepasi1–2L
8 Octvs Malavan1–1D
6 Sepvs Esteghlal FC0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mes Shahr-e Babak – last 6

LLLLDL
31 Octvs Paykan1–3L
25 Oct@ Sepahan FC0–4L
19 Octvs Persepolis FC0–3L
8 Oct@ Foolad FC1–2L
13 Sepvs Nassaji Mazandaran1–1D
7 Sepvs Malavan1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak head-to-head page →

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sepahan FC12822+1626
2Persepolis FC12723+1323
3Tractor Sazi11722+923
4Foolad FC12651+623
5Esteghlal FC11560+921
6Aluminium Arak12453+317
7Fajr Sepasi11452-117
8Chadormalu SC12453-317
9Gol Gohar11425+114
10Kheybar Khorramabad12354-114
11Paykan12354-114
12Nassaji Mazandaran12264-312
13Esteghlal Khuzestan12255-711
14ZOB Ahan12174-410
15Malavan12336-610
16Sanat Naft11245-910
17Shams Azar Qazvin11146-67
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057-165

More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mes Shahr-e Babak 14%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.