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Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Copa Ecuador · Ecuador
Universidad Catolica 29%Draw 25%LDU de Quito 47% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.97
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito in the Copa Ecuador.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente del Valle, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

LDU de Quito, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Universidad Catolica.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Sep 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 2–1 Universidad Catolica. The last 3 head-to-heads: Universidad Catolica 1 win, LDU de Quito 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG, LDU de Quito 2.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 29%, draw 25%, LDU de Quito 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica29%fair 3.47 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
LDU de Quito47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
3.50Expected goals
1.53Universidad Catolica xG
1.97LDU de Quito xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.5 – 2.0 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✗47%2.142.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.632.00 ▲
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLDU de Quito ahead at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 6

DDLLWW
23 Oct@ Independiente del Valle0–0D
18 Oct@ Barcelona SC1–1D
11 Octvs Macara0–1L
21 Sep@ LDU de Quito1–2L
15 Sepvs Orense SC2–1W
10 Sep@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

LDWWWD
25 Octvs Macara1–2L
18 Oct@ Aucas1–1D
11 Octvs Barcelona SC2–1W
21 Sepvs Universidad Catolica2–1W
16 Sepvs Palmeiras3–2W
13 Sepvs Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Sep 2026LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica2–1
15 Jul 2026Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito1–0
15 Mar 2026LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica1–1
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and LDU de Quito 47%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.