Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 1.79 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗59% · @1.79
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✗83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Copa Ecuador brings LDU de Quito against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aucas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Universidad Catolica.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Oct 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 2–2 LDU de Quito. The last 4 head-to-heads: LDU de Quito 1 win, Universidad Catolica 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 2.1 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 59%, draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 17%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (83%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.76.
Price worth noting: LDU de Quito to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 2–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito59%fair 1.69 · @1.79
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.30
Universidad Catolica17%fair 5.72 · @3.90
3.14Expected goals
2.07LDU de Quito xG
1.06Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 2.1 – 1.1 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 17%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 2–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
