Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Kaposvar to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKaposvar to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Kaposvar vs Ajka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Magyar Kupa brings Kaposvar against Ajka. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Kaposvar, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over MTK Budapest II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Ajka, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fehérvár FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kaposvar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ajka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaposvar 1.7 xG, Ajka 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaposvar 43%, draw 18%, Ajka 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Kaposvar to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaposvar 1–1 Ajka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaposvar43%fair 2.34 · @2.75
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Ajka39%fair 2.57 · @2.00
3.33Expected goals
1.71Kaposvar xG
1.62Ajka xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kaposvar 1.7 – 1.6 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaposvar to win✗
43%
2.34
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Kaposvar (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Ajka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Kaposvar to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaposvar / FT Kaposvar✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Kaposvar – last 6
WWWLDL
24 Oct
@ MTK Budapest II
4–3
W
17 Oct
vs Sárbogárd
7–0
W
10 Oct
vs Iváncsa
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Érdi VSE
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Ferencváros II
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Majosi
1–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajka – last 6
WLDLLW
24 Oct
@ Fehérvár FC
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs BVSC
1–2
L
14 Oct
@ Mezokovesd-zsory
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Tiszakecske FC
3–4
L
2 Oct
@ Komárno
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Csakvar
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaposvar and Ajka.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kaposvar vs Ajka?
On our numbers Kaposvar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ajka 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kaposvar vs Ajka?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaposvar vs Ajka?
Our predicted score is Kaposvar 1–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kaposvar vs Ajka?
Kaposvar vs Ajka (Magyar Kupa) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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