Value bet: Llapi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDrenica Skënderaj to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Superliga brings Drenica Skënderaj against Llapi. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Drenica Skënderaj are 8th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Llapi are 9th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Drenica Skënderaj, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vushtrria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Llapi, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Malisheva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Drenica Skënderaj, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Llapi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drenica Skënderaj 1.5 xG, Llapi 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drenica Skënderaj 43%, draw 22%, Llapi 36%.
Price worth noting: Llapi to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drenica Skënderaj 2–1 Llapi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drenica Skënderaj43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Llapi36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.82Expected goals
1.49Drenica Skënderaj xG
1.33Llapi xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Drenica Skënderaj 1.5 – 1.3 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drenica Skënderaj to win✓
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Drenica Skënderaj (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Llapi +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Drenica Skënderaj to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drenica Skënderaj / FT Drenica Skënderaj✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Drenica Skënderaj – last 6
WLDLDD
13 Sep
@ Vushtrria
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Prishtina
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Drita
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ballkani
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Malisheva
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Dukagjini
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Llapi – last 6
LWLLLL
14 Sep
vs Malisheva
0–4
L
8 Sep
@ Vushtrria
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Dukagjini
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Prishtina
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Gjilani
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Drita
3–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi.
What is the prediction for Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
On our numbers Drenica Skënderaj have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llapi 36%.
How many goals will there be in Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Drenica Skënderaj 2–1 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
