Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDanubio to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Danubio vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Danubio welcome Wanderers to Jardines Del Hipódromo for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Danubio are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Wanderers are 10th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Danubio, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juventud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Wanderers, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jun 2026) it ended Wanderers 0–0 Danubio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Danubio 1.3 xG, Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Danubio 42%, draw 23%, Wanderers 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Wanderers to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Danubio 1–1 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Danubio42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Wanderers35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.37Expected goals
1.25Danubio xG
1.12Wanderers xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Danubio 1.3 – 1.1 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Danubio vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Danubio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wanderers 35%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Wanderers?
Danubio vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jardines Del Hipódromo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
