Value bet: Racing Montevideo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.97
Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool Montevideo welcome Racing Montevideo to Estadio Belvedere for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Monday 21 September (00:00 WAT). In the table, Liverpool Montevideo are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Juventud, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 Racing Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 41%, draw 25%, Racing Montevideo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Racing Montevideo to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool Montevideo41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Racing Montevideo34%fair 2.93 · @3.25
2.16Expected goals
1.15Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.01Racing Montevideo xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 – 1.0 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Racing Montevideo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
