Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Aucas vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Liga Pro brings Aucas against Macara at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aucas, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Manta FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Emelec, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Aucas 1–4 Macara. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aucas 1 win, Macara 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.5 xG, Macara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 58%, draw 22%, Macara 20%.
Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Aucas to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aucas or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.00
Macara20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.52Aucas xG
0.73Macara xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.5 – 0.7 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aucas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aucas vs Macara?
On our numbers Aucas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
