Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.80
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
LDU de Quito welcome Universidad Catolica to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado for a Liga Pro fixture on Monday 21 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Palmeiras, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Universidad Catolica, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for LDU de Quito.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 1–0 LDU de Quito. The last 2 head-to-heads: LDU de Quito 0 wins, Universidad Catolica 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.2 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 41%, draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito41%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Universidad Catolica35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.22Expected goals
1.17LDU de Quito xG
1.05Universidad Catolica xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.2 – 1.0 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 35%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
