Universidad Catolica 57%Draw 23%Macara 20%Expected goals 1.68 – 0.87
80%
Betarazi pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Universidad Catolica vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Macara travel to face Universidad Catolica on Sunday 11 October in the Liga Pro, with Olimpico Atahualpa the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to LDU de Quito, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Macara, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aucas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Aug 2026) it ended Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica. The last 2 head-to-heads: Universidad Catolica 1 win, Macara 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Macara 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 57%, draw 23%, Macara 20%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad Catolica or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Macara20%fair 5.03 · @4.00
2.55Expected goals
1.68Universidad Catolica xG
0.87Macara xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.9 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Macara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Macara 20%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Universidad Catolica vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
