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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WWWWW
3–0
FT
Macara 62%Draw 24%Barcelona SC 14% Expected goals 1.61 – 0.60
86%
Betarazi pick

Macara or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Macara to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66

Macara vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barcelona SC travel to face Macara on Saturday 31 October in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over LDU de Quito, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Barcelona SC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Aucas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Barcelona SC.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Barcelona SC 1–2 Macara. The last 2 head-to-heads: Macara 2 wins, Barcelona SC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.6 xG, Barcelona SC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 62%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Barcelona SC14%fair 7.21 · @3.60
2.21Expected goals
1.61Macara xG
0.60Barcelona SC xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Macara 1.6 – 0.6 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✓62%1.611.91 ▲
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapMacara -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.66–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WWWWWL
25 Oct@ LDU de Quito2–1W
18 Octvs Independiente del Valle1–0W
11 Oct@ Universidad Catolica1–0W
19 Sep@ Aucas2–1W
13 Sepvs Emelec1–0W
6 Sep@ Independiente del Valle1–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 6

WDLDDW
25 Oct@ Aucas4–0W
18 Octvs Universidad Catolica1–1D
11 Oct@ LDU de Quito1–2L
14 Sepvs Delfin SC1–1D
7 Sep@ Aucas1–1D
3 Sepvs Independiente del Valle2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Barcelona SC v Macara1–2
20 Apr 2026Macara v Barcelona SC3–1
Macara vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Macara or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Macara vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Macara have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barcelona SC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Macara vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.