Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Friday 16 October: Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orense SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manta FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Deportivo Cuenca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 63%, draw 23%, Tecnico Universitario 15%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Cuenca to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Cuenca or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Tecnico Universitario15%fair 6.85 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.57Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.57Tecnico Universitario xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 – 0.6 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tecnico Universitario 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
