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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club
1–1
FT
Mushuc Runa SC 59%Draw 22%Orense SC 19% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.86
81%
Betarazi pick

Mushuc Runa SC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 19 October the Liga Pro brings Mushuc Runa SC against Orense SC at Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39.

Current form

Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Delfin SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Orense SC, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Mushuc Runa SC 2–1 Orense SC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mushuc Runa SC 1 win, Orense SC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.7 xG, Orense SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 59%, draw 22%, Orense SC 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mushuc Runa SC or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mushuc Runa SC or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mushuc Runa SC59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Orense SC19%fair 5.27 · @3.90
2.59Expected goals
1.73Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.86Orense SC xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.7 – 0.9 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.981.83
Draw no betMushuc Runa SC (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapOrense SC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreMushuc Runa SC to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Mushuc Runa SC – last 6

LDLDDW
9 Oct@ Delfin SC2–3L
20 Sep@ Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
12 Sep@ Guayaquil City FC1–3L
8 Sepvs Leones del Norte1–1D
2 Sep@ LDU de Quito0–0D
28 Augvs Delfin SC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orense SC – last 6

DLLWLL
11 Octvs Deportivo Cuenca0–0D
21 Sep@ Manta FC1–2L
15 Sep@ Universidad Catolica1–2L
8 Sepvs Guayaquil City FC4–3W
3 Sep@ Leones del Norte0–1L
30 Augvs Macara1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jul 2026Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC2–1
19 Mar 2026Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC3–2
Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Our pick is Mushuc Runa SC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orense SC 19%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.