Libertad vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Liga Pro brings Libertad against Leones del Norte at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Emelec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Leones del Norte, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guayaquil City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Leones del Norte.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.1 xG, Leones del Norte 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 38%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Leones del Norte37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
2.18Expected goals
1.10Libertad xG
1.08Leones del Norte xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.1 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Libertad have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 37%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Libertad vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
