Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boca Juniors welcome Vasco DA Gama to Alberto J. Armando for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Wednesday 14 October (01:30 WAT).
Current form
Boca Juniors, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Instituto Cordoba, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Remo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 1.3 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 44%, draw 25%, Vasco DA Gama 31%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Vasco DA Gama to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Juniors44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.80
Vasco DA Gama31%fair 3.24 · @3.70
2.33Expected goals
1.30Boca Juniors xG
1.03Vasco DA Gama xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.3 – 1.0 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✗
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.57
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Vasco DA Gama +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.90
–
Recent results
Boca Juniors – last 6
DWWWDW
9 Oct
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Union Santa Fe
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Racing Club
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ San Lorenzo
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sao Paulo
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
DWWWWD
10 Oct
vs Remo
0–0
D
8 Oct
@ Botafogo
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Coritiba
5–0
W
15 Sep
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Gremio
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vasco DA Gama 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?
Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Alberto J. Armando.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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