Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 21 October the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Vasco DA Gama against Boca Juniors at Estádio do Maracanã. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Boca Juniors, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Talleres Cordoba, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Oct 2026) it ended Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.1 xG, Boca Juniors 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 40%, draw 25%, Boca Juniors 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama40%fair 2.50 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Boca Juniors35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
2.20Expected goals
1.15Vasco DA Gama xG
1.05Boca Juniors xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.1 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boca Juniors 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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