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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Giovanni v Tre Fiori: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
0–1
FT
San Giovanni 14%Draw 16%Tre Fiori 71% Expected goals 1.07 – 2.61
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Fiori to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87

San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: San Giovanni v Tre Fiori in the Campionato. In the table, San Giovanni are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; Tre Fiori are 4th (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

San Giovanni, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cailungo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Tre Fiori, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Virtus, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tre Fiori, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for San Giovanni.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Giovanni 1.1 xG, Tre Fiori 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Giovanni 14%, draw 16%, Tre Fiori 71%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Giovanni 1–2 Tre Fiori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Giovanni14%fair 7.33 · @11.00
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @6.50
Tre Fiori71%fair 1.42 · @1.18
3.68Expected goals
1.07San Giovanni xG
2.61Tre Fiori xG
54%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: San Giovanni 1.1 – 2.6 Tre Fiori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Fiori to win ✓71%1.421.18
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓86%1.161.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betTre Fiori (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapTre Fiori -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreTre Fiori to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultTre Fiori ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

San Giovanni – last 6

LWLLLL
20 Sepvs Cailungo0–3L
12 Sep@ Murata2–0W
8 Sepvs Cosmos0–1L
4 Sep@ Domagnano0–4L
29 Augvs Tre Penne2–3L
26 Apr@ Tre Penne0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tre Fiori – last 6

LWWWWL
18 Sepvs Virtus2–3L
11 Sepvs Domagnano3–0W
8 Sep@ Fiorentino1–0W
4 Sep@ Faetano4–0W
30 Augvs Pennarossa5–2W
13 Aug@ Drita0–5L
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Giovanni and Tre Fiori.

San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori?

On our numbers San Giovanni have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tre Fiori 71%.

How many goals will there be in San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori?

Our predicted score is San Giovanni 1–2 Tre Fiori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori?

San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.