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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Murata v Domagnano: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino

Murata

LLLLW
2–2
FT
Murata 11%Draw 16%Domagnano 73% Expected goals 0.80 – 2.38
73%
Betarazi pick

Domagnano to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDomagnano to win ✗73% · @1.25
Double chanceDomagnano or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Murata vs Domagnano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Murata v Domagnano in the Campionato. In the table, Murata are 14th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 8 matches; Domagnano are 7th (upper half) with 10.

Current form

Murata, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to La Fiorita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Domagnano, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tre Penne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Domagnano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Murata.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Domagnano 5–0 Murata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Murata 0.8 xG, Domagnano 2.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Murata 11%, draw 16%, Domagnano 73%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Domagnano to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murata 0–2 Domagnano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Murata11%fair 9.01 · @8.00
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.25
Domagnano73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
3.17Expected goals
0.80Murata xG
2.38Domagnano xG
49%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Murata 0.8 – 2.4 Domagnano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDomagnano to win ✗73%1.371.25
Double chanceDomagnano or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betDomagnano (draw no bet)87%1.15–
Asian handicapDomagnano -1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreDomagnano to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultDomagnano ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Domagnano / FT Domagnano ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Murata – last 6

LLLLWL
9 Oct@ La Fiorita0–3L
18 Sepvs Cosmos0–2L
12 Sepvs San Giovanni0–2L
9 Sepvs Virtus0–3L
6 Sep@ Pennarossa4–1W
28 Aug@ Folgore0–5L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Domagnano – last 6

LLLWWW
11 Octvs Tre Penne0–2L
19 Sepvs La Fiorita1–2L
11 Sep@ Tre Fiori0–3L
8 Sepvs Faetano3–1W
4 Sepvs San Giovanni4–0W
28 Aug@ Cailungo2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Domagnano v Murata5–0
Murata vs Domagnano head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murata vs Domagnano?

Our pick is Domagnano to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Murata vs Domagnano?

On our numbers Murata have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Domagnano 73%.

How many goals will there be in Murata vs Domagnano?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murata vs Domagnano?

Our predicted score is Murata 0–2 Domagnano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Murata vs Domagnano?

Murata vs Domagnano (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.