Folgore vs Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Folgore v Virtus in the Campionato. In the table, Folgore are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 8 matches; Virtus are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Folgore, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tre Penne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Virtus, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Domagnano, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Folgore 1.2 xG, Virtus 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore 33%, draw 23%, Virtus 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore 1–1 Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Folgore33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.04
Virtus43%fair 2.30 · @2.24
2.57Expected goals
1.18Folgore xG
1.39Virtus xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Folgore 1.2 – 1.4 Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus to win✗
43%
2.30
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.77
Draw no bet
Virtus (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Folgore +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Virtus to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus / FT Virtus✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Folgore – last 6
DWWWWW
1 Nov
vs Tre Penne
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Libertas
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Libertas
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Pennarossa
5–1
W
19 Sep
vs San Marino Academy
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Virtus – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Oct
@ Domagnano
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs Murata
3–0
W
23 Oct
@ Juvenes Dogana
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs San Marino Academy
5–0
W
18 Sep
@ Tre Fiori
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Libertas
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore and Virtus.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Folgore vs Virtus?
On our numbers Folgore have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Virtus 43%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore vs Virtus?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore vs Virtus?
Our predicted score is Folgore 1–1 Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Folgore vs Virtus?
Folgore vs Virtus (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
