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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Antigua and Barbuda v Aruba: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Sir Vivian Richards Stadium

Antigua and Barbuda

WWL
3–2
FT

Aruba

WWWLW
Antigua and Barbuda 45%Draw 23%Aruba 31% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.26
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultAntigua and Barbuda to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aruba travel to face Antigua and Barbuda on Wednesday 7 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with Sir Vivian Richards Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Antigua and Barbuda, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Anguilla, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Aruba, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Anguilla, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Aruba, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Antigua and Barbuda.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Aruba 1–0 Antigua and Barbuda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Antigua and Barbuda 1.6 xG, Aruba 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua and Barbuda 45%, draw 23%, Aruba 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua and Barbuda 1–1 Aruba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Antigua and Barbuda45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Aruba31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.83Expected goals
1.57Antigua and Barbuda xG
1.26Aruba xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Antigua and Barbuda 1.6 – 1.3 Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAntigua and Barbuda to win ✓45%2.202.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.83
Draw no betAntigua and Barbuda (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapAruba +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreAntigua and Barbuda to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Antigua and Barbuda / FT Antigua and Barbuda ✓27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Antigua and Barbuda – last 3

WWL
2 Oct@ Anguilla3–0W
27 Sepvs Anguilla5–0W
24 Sep@ Aruba0–1L
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aruba – last 6

WWWLWW
5 Octvs Anguilla3–2W
30 Sep@ Anguilla2–0W
24 Sepvs Antigua and Barbuda1–0W
7 Jun@ Curaçao0–4L
29 Marvs Liechtenstein4–1W
26 Marvs Mação4–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda1–0
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

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FT French Guyana1 Belize0 145%2.10X24%3.00230%3.50 1.0–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.75 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

On our numbers Antigua and Barbuda have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aruba 31%.

How many goals will there be in Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Our predicted score is Antigua and Barbuda 1–1 Aruba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.