Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense welcome Palmeiras to Estádio do Maracanã for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 15 October (01:30 WAT). In the table, Fluminense are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flamengo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Corinthians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Fluminense.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fluminense 1 win, Palmeiras 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.1 xG, Palmeiras 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 35%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense35%fair 2.82 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @2.62
Palmeiras38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.35Expected goals
1.15Fluminense xG
1.20Palmeiras xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.1 – 1.2 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 38%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
