Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense travel to face Palmeiras on Thursday 22 October in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Nubank Parque the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Fluminense are 2nd with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Paranaense, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fluminense, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Fluminense.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Oct 2026) it ended Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras. The last 3 head-to-heads: Palmeiras 2 wins, Fluminense 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.6 xG, Fluminense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 58%, draw 23%, Fluminense 18%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.20
Fluminense18%fair 5.41 · @5.50
2.41Expected goals
1.63Palmeiras xG
0.78Fluminense xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.6 – 0.8 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
