VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Thursday 1 October: VfB Stuttgart v SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
VfB Stuttgart, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over 1. FC Heidenheim, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 1. FC Magdeburg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours VfB Stuttgart, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfB Stuttgart 2.7 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfB Stuttgart 71%, draw 18%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was VfB Stuttgart to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfB Stuttgart71%fair 1.41 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth11%fair 9.00 · @6.00
3.67Expected goals
2.65VfB Stuttgart xG
1.02SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: VfB Stuttgart 2.7 – 1.0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Double chance
VfB Stuttgart or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
First team to score
VfB Stuttgart to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
WLLWWL
25 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Viking
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs 1. FC Köln
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
DDLWLL
18 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–3
W
23 Aug
vs VfL Bochum
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Stuttgart and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers VfB Stuttgart have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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