CF Montreal 64%Draw 21%Forge 15%Expected goals 1.96 – 0.84
85%
Betarazi pick
CF Montreal or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: CF Montreal to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Montreal to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceCF Montreal or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
CF Montreal vs Forge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Forge travel to face CF Montreal on Thursday 22 October in the Canadian Championship, with Saputo Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
CF Montreal, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Forge, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Ottawa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Forge, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for CF Montreal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Montreal 2.0 xG, Forge 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Montreal 64%, draw 21%, Forge 15%.
Lower-risk option: CF Montreal or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: CF Montreal to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CF Montreal or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Montreal 1–0 Forge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Montreal64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Forge15%fair 6.69 · @4.00
2.80Expected goals
1.96CF Montreal xG
0.84Forge xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 2.0 – 0.8 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Montreal to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
CF Montreal or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
CF Montreal (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
CF Montreal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
CF Montreal to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
CF Montreal ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Montreal / FT CF Montreal✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
CF Montreal – last 6
DLLWLW
18 Oct
@ Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
15 Oct
vs Atlanta United FC
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Columbus Crew
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Forge – last 6
WWWDDD
17 Oct
@ Atlético Ottawa
2–1
W
12 Oct
vs York United
5–0
W
8 Oct
vs Pacific FC
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs HFX Wanderers FC
3–3
D
27 Sep
@ Vancouver FC
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cavalry FC
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and Forge.
Our pick is CF Montreal or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Forge?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forge 15%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Forge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Forge?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–0 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs Forge?
CF Montreal vs Forge (Canadian Championship) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
