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East Bengal II v Minerva Punjab: numbers & prediction

IFA Shield · India · Salt Lake Stadium
0–1
FT
East Bengal II 38%Draw 20%Minerva Punjab 42% Expected goals 2.10 – 2.20
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: East Bengal II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMinerva Punjab to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.48

East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minerva Punjab travel to face East Bengal II on Wednesday 30 September in the IFA Shield, with Salt Lake Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT.

Current form

East Bengal II, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Calcutta Customs, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Minerva Punjab, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Calcutta Customs, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended East Bengal II 0–0 Minerva Punjab.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Bengal II 2.1 xG, Minerva Punjab 2.2 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Bengal II 38%, draw 20%, Minerva Punjab 42%.
  • Price worth noting: East Bengal II to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Bengal II 2–2 Minerva Punjab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Bengal II38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Minerva Punjab42%fair 2.38 · @2.00
4.30Expected goals
2.10East Bengal II xG
2.20Minerva Punjab xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–16%
2–35%
1–35%

From our goals model: East Bengal II 2.1 – 2.2 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinerva Punjab to win ✓42%2.382.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Draw no betMinerva Punjab (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapEast Bengal II +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
First team to scoreMinerva Punjab to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultMinerva Punjab ahead at half-time ✓35%2.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minerva Punjab / FT Minerva Punjab ✓26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.48–

Recent results

East Bengal II – last 6

WDDWDD
24 Sep@ Calcutta Customs3–1W
16 Sep@ Al Hussein2–2D
12 Augvs Al Arabi1–1D
21 May@ Inter Kashi2–1W
17 May@ ATK Mohun Bagan1–1D
11 Mayvs Minerva Punjab0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Minerva Punjab – last 6

WLLDWW
27 Sep@ Calcutta Customs7–0W
29 Augvs Horley Town0–2L
21 Mayvs Mumbai City0–2L
11 May@ East Bengal II0–0D
6 Mayvs Chennaiyin1–0W
20 Aprvs Inter Kashi3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026East Bengal II v Minerva Punjab0–0
East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?

On our numbers East Bengal II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Minerva Punjab 42%.

How many goals will there be in East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?

Our predicted score is East Bengal II 2–2 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?

East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab (IFA Shield) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Salt Lake Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.