Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58% · @2.00
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ATK Mohun Bagan welcome NorthEast United to Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan for a IFA Shield fixture on Tuesday 29 September (10:00 WAT).
Current form
ATK Mohun Bagan, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Sreenidi Deccan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
NorthEast United, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sreenidi Deccan, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 2.4 xG, NorthEast United 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 67%, draw 13%, NorthEast United 20%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ATK Mohun Bagan to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 2–1 NorthEast United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ATK Mohun Bagan67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw13%fair 7.48 · @4.50
NorthEast United20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
3.53Expected goals
2.38ATK Mohun Bagan xG
1.15NorthEast United xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 2.4 – 1.2 NorthEast United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✗
67%
1.49
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
ATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
ATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
ATK Mohun Bagan to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 6
WWDDDD
23 Sep
vs Sreenidi Deccan
6–0
W
21 May
vs SC Delhi
2–1
W
17 May
vs East Bengal II
1–1
D
12 May
vs Inter Kashi
0–0
D
9 May
@ Goa
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Jamshedpur
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NorthEast United – last 6
WWWWLD
26 Sep
@ Sreenidi Deccan
3–0
W
19 May
vs Mohammedan
2–0
W
10 May
vs Chennaiyin
4–1
W
2 May
vs Inter Kashi
3–2
W
24 Apr
vs Goa
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Kerala Blasters
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and NorthEast United.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?
Our pick is ATK Mohun Bagan to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 13% and NorthEast United 20%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 2–1 NorthEast United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United (IFA Shield) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
