Value bet: Ayacucho FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMolinos El Pirata to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Molinos El Pirata v Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División. In the table, Molinos El Pirata are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Ayacucho FC are 7th (in the drop zone) with 19.
Current form
Molinos El Pirata, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Comercio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ayacucho FC, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Minas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ayacucho FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Molinos El Pirata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molinos El Pirata 1.3 xG, Ayacucho FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molinos El Pirata 42%, draw 23%, Ayacucho FC 36%.
Price worth noting: Ayacucho FC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Ayacucho FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molinos El Pirata42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Ayacucho FC36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
2.56Expected goals
1.35Molinos El Pirata xG
1.22Ayacucho FC xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Molinos El Pirata 1.3 – 1.2 Ayacucho FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molinos El Pirata to win✓
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Molinos El Pirata (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Ayacucho FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Molinos El Pirata to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molinos El Pirata / FT Molinos El Pirata✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Molinos El Pirata – last 6
LDLDLD
27 Sep
@ Union Comercio
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
7 Sep
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
2–4
L
23 Aug
@ Academia Cantolao
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Union Comercio
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Cesar Vallejo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ayacucho FC – last 6
WLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Minas
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo 2
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Comerciantes
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Binacional
7–1
W
15 Aug
@ Minas
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Estudiantil CNI
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molinos El Pirata and Ayacucho FC.
What is the prediction for Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
On our numbers Molinos El Pirata have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayacucho FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Our predicted score is Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Ayacucho FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
