Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBentín Tacna Heroica to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceBentín Tacna Heroica or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Bentín Tacna Heroica v Carlos A. Mannucci in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Jorge Basadre. In the table, Bentín Tacna Heroica are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 16 matches; Carlos A. Mannucci are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bentín Tacna Heroica, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Alianza Universidad, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Carlos A. Mannucci, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over U. San Martin, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Carlos A. Mannucci, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.7 xG, Carlos A. Mannucci 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bentín Tacna Heroica 61%, draw 20%, Carlos A. Mannucci 18%.
Lower-risk option: Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1–0 Carlos A. Mannucci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bentín Tacna Heroica61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
Carlos A. Mannucci18%fair 5.48 · @3.60
2.44Expected goals
1.69Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
0.75Carlos A. Mannucci xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.7 – 0.8 Carlos A. Mannucci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentín Tacna Heroica to win✗
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Bentín Tacna Heroica (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Carlos A. Mannucci +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Bentín Tacna Heroica to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentín Tacna Heroica / FT Bentín Tacna Heroica✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Recent results
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 6
DDWLWD
27 Sep
@ Alianza Universidad
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Estudiantil CNI
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Santos
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Alianza Universidad
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo 2
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Comerciantes
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carlos A. Mannucci – last 6
WWWDLW
26 Sep
vs U. San Martin
7–0
W
7 Sep
@ Molinos El Pirata
4–2
W
29 Aug
vs Academia Cantolao
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Union Comercio
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Cesar Vallejo
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentín Tacna Heroica and Carlos A. Mannucci.
What is the prediction for Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our pick is Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
On our numbers Bentín Tacna Heroica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carlos A. Mannucci 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our predicted score is Bentín Tacna Heroica 1–0 Carlos A. Mannucci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Basadre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
