Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRentistas to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Segunda División brings Uruguay Montevideo against Rentistas. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Rentistas are 2nd (among the top four) with 40. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Miramar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Rentistas, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oriental, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rentistas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Uruguay Montevideo.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Rentistas 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 0.7 xG, Rentistas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 15%, draw 25%, Rentistas 60%.
Lower-risk option: Rentistas or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Rentistas to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rentistas or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Rentistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uruguay Montevideo15%fair 6.55 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Rentistas60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
2.32Expected goals
0.69Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.63Rentistas xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.7 – 1.6 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Our pick is Rentistas or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rentistas 60%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
