Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Paysandu vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 28 September the Segunda División brings Paysandu against Tacuarembo. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Plaza Colonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Tacuarembo, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Huracan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Tacuarembo 1–0 Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.2 xG, Tacuarembo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 45%, draw 25%, Tacuarembo 30%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–0 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu45%fair 2.24 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Tacuarembo30%fair 3.28 · @2.90
2.16Expected goals
1.22Paysandu xG
0.94Tacuarembo xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.2 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tacuarembo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Paysandu vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
