Canberra FC vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
South Melbourne travel to face Canberra FC on Thursday 29 October in the Australian Championship, with Deakin Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Canberra FC are 4th, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; South Melbourne are 1st (leading the league) with 10.
Current form
Canberra FC, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sutherland Sharks, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
South Melbourne, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sydney United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canberra FC 0.5 xG, South Melbourne 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canberra FC 13%, draw 16%, South Melbourne 71%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was South Melbourne to win (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canberra FC 0–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canberra FC13%fair 7.55 · @8.00
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @5.50
South Melbourne71%fair 1.40 · @1.22
2.25Expected goals
0.50Canberra FC xG
1.75South Melbourne xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–216%
0–011%
0–39%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Canberra FC 0.5 – 1.7 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Draw no bet
South Melbourne (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
South Melbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
South Melbourne to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.39
–
Recent results
Canberra FC – last 6
LDLWWW
24 Oct
vs Sutherland Sharks
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sydney United
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Cooma Tigers FC
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Queanbeyan City
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Belconnen United
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Monaro Panthers
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 6
DWDWLW
23 Oct
vs Sydney United
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Sutherland Sharks
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Melbourne Victory
0–0
D
15 Sep
vs Lions
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Oakleigh Cannons
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Heidelberg United
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canberra FC and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Canberra FC have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 16% and South Melbourne 71%.
How many goals will there be in Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Canberra FC 0–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Canberra FC vs South Melbourne (Australian Championship) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Deakin Stadium .
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
