Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✗65% · @1.53
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✗88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗33% · fair 2.99
Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 20 October the Cup brings Neftchi against Lokomotiv at Istiqlol Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Kokand-1912, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lokomotiv, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nasaf, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 0–1 Neftchi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Neftchi 2 wins, Lokomotiv 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 0.9 xG, Lokomotiv 0.1 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 65%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv 12%.
Lower-risk option: Neftchi or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 1–0 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.75
Lokomotiv12%fair 8.04 · @5.00
1.00Expected goals
0.91Neftchi xG
0.09Lokomotiv xG
41%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
1–033%
2–015%
3–05%
0–13%
1–13%
From our goals model: Neftchi 0.9 – 0.1 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 1–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
Neftchi vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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