Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultEverton to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Everton vs Newcastle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Everton welcome Newcastle to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a League Cup fixture on Thursday 29 October (20:45 WAT).
Current form
Everton, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arsenal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Newcastle, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crystal Palace, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended Newcastle 1–3 Everton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.5 xG, Newcastle 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 45%, draw 22%, Newcastle 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–1 Newcastle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Newcastle33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.50Everton xG
1.25Newcastle xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Everton 1.5 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Everton have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newcastle 33%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Newcastle?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Everton 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Newcastle?
Everton vs Newcastle (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
