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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Khovd v Ulaanbaatar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mongolia

Khovd

WLWDL
0–4
FT
Khovd 11%Draw 14%Ulaanbaatar 75% Expected goals 1.75 – 3.93
98%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.02 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✓75% · @1.10
Double chanceUlaanbaatar or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.54
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 16.52

Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Khovd welcome Ulaanbaatar for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 30 September (09:00 WAT). In the table, Khovd are 7th on 16 points after 21 matches; Ulaanbaatar are 1st with 54. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Khovd, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 8–2 win over Erchim, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.

Ulaanbaatar, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Hunters, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Ulaanbaatar 4–1 Khovd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Khovd 1.7 xG, Ulaanbaatar 3.9 xG – a total near 5.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 91% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Khovd 11%, draw 14%, Ulaanbaatar 75%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (98%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khovd 1–3 Ulaanbaatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Khovd11%fair 9.06 · @15.00
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @10.00
Ulaanbaatar75%fair 1.34 · @1.10
5.68Expected goals
1.75Khovd xG
3.93Ulaanbaatar xG
65%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–36%
1–46%
2–35%
2–45%
1–55%
1–25%

From our goals model: Khovd 1.7 – 3.9 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlaanbaatar to win ✓75%1.341.10
Double chanceUlaanbaatar or draw ✓89%1.121.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.54–
Draw no betUlaanbaatar (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapUlaanbaatar -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
First team to scoreUlaanbaatar to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultUlaanbaatar ahead at half-time ✗60%1.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar ✗55%1.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6%16.52–

Recent results

Khovd – last 6

WLWDLL
26 Sep@ Erchim8–2W
21 Sepvs Central Stallions0–6L
1 Julvs Khoromkhon7–1W
28 Jun@ Ulaangom City3–3D
25 Junvs Hunters1–6L
22 Jun@ Khovd Western0–3L
3.2Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ulaanbaatar – last 6

WWLLWL
27 Sepvs Hunters5–3W
20 Sep@ Amtat FC9–0W
11 Augvs Hang Yuen1–2L
6 Julvs Deren2–3L
3 Jul@ Khangarid4–3W
30 Junvs Central Stallions2–3L
3.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Ulaanbaatar v Khovd4–1
Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 98% chance.

Who will win Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar?

On our numbers Khovd have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ulaanbaatar 75%.

How many goals will there be in Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar?

We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our predicted score is Khovd 1–3 Ulaanbaatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.

When is Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar?

Khovd vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.