Khovd Western 10%Draw 15%Deren 75%Expected goals 1.14 – 3.04
92%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeren to win ✓75% · @1.06
Double chanceDeren or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Khovd Western vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 1 October the Premier League brings Khovd Western against Deren. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Khovd Western are 6th on 24 points after 20 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khovd Western, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Erchim, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Deren, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Amtat FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Deren, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Khovd Western.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Khovd Western 1–5 Deren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khovd Western 1.1 xG, Deren 3.0 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khovd Western 10%, draw 15%, Deren 75%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (92%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khovd Western 1–3 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khovd Western10%fair 9.91 · @23.00
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @13.00
Deren75%fair 1.34 · @1.06
4.18Expected goals
1.14Khovd Western xG
3.04Deren xG
56%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
1–28%
0–37%
0–27%
1–46%
0–45%
From our goals model: Khovd Western 1.1 – 3.0 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Khovd Western vs Deren?
On our numbers Khovd Western have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Deren 75%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd Western vs Deren?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd Western 1–3 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Khovd Western vs Deren?
Khovd Western vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
