Roskilde vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roskilde welcome Aarhus for a DBU Pokalen fixture on Wednesday 28 October (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Roskilde, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Fremad Amager, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aarhus, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Viborg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roskilde, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Aarhus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roskilde 1.8 xG, Aarhus 3.2 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roskilde 17%, draw 18%, Aarhus 65%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roskilde 1–3 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roskilde17%fair 5.87 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
Aarhus65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
5.00Expected goals
1.77Roskilde xG
3.23Aarhus xG
69%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: Roskilde 1.8 – 3.2 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Aarhus (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Aarhus -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Aarhus to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Aarhus ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.95
–
Recent results
Roskilde – last 6
WDWWDW
23 Oct
vs Fremad Amager
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middelfart
3–3
D
10 Oct
vs Skive
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Thisted FC
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ HIK
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs FA 2000
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aarhus – last 6
WDDLWW
25 Oct
vs Viborg
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gent
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Sonderjyske
3–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roskilde and Aarhus.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Roskilde have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aarhus 65%.
How many goals will there be in Roskilde vs Aarhus?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Roskilde 1–3 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Roskilde vs Aarhus (DBU Pokalen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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