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Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P.: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio do Maracanã
0–0
FTPens 2–3
Flamengo 62%Draw 19%Estudiantes L.P. 19% Expected goals 1.39 – 0.56
62%
Betarazi pick

Flamengo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.04

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Friday 23 October: Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estádio do Maracanã. In the table, Flamengo are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bahia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Estudiantes L.P., last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Lorenzo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Estudiantes L.P..

Head to head

When they last met (16 Oct 2026) it ended Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo. The last 3 head-to-heads: Flamengo 1 win, Estudiantes L.P. 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.4 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 62%, draw 19%, Estudiantes L.P. 19%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Flamengo to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.80
Estudiantes L.P.19%fair 5.25 · @7.00
1.95Expected goals
1.39Flamengo xG
0.56Estudiantes L.P. xG
45%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Flamengo 1.4 – 0.6 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✗62%1.611.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.53
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapEstudiantes L.P. +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.04–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

WDWDWD
18 Oct@ Bahia3–0W
16 Oct@ Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
11 Octvs Fluminense1–0W
8 Oct@ Santos2–2D
20 Sepvs RB Bragantino2–1W
18 Sepvs Independiente del Valle1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Estudiantes L.P. – last 6

LDDWLL
18 Octvs San Lorenzo1–2L
16 Octvs Flamengo0–0D
10 Oct@ Central Cordoba de Santiago2–2D
5 Octvs Gimnasia M.3–0W
2 Oct@ Platense0–1L
26 Sepvs Rosario Central1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo0–0
21 May 2026Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P.1–0
30 Apr 2026Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo1–1
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo6510+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231+19
3Independiente Medellin6213-57
4Cusco6015-81

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Estudiantes L.P. 19%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.