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Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland · Motor Lublin Arena

Motor Lublin

DWWDL
1–1
FTPens 1–3

Raków Częstochowa

LWLWL
Motor Lublin 32%Draw 23%Raków Częstochowa 46% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.66
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 2.62 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗46% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Motor Lublin welcome Raków Częstochowa to Motor Lublin Arena for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 27 October (17:30 WAT).

Current form

Motor Lublin, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zaglebie Lubin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wisla Krakow, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.3 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 32%, draw 23%, Raków Częstochowa 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Raków Częstochowa to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motor Lublin32%fair 3.15 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Raków Częstochowa46%fair 2.19 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.34Motor Lublin xG
1.66Raków Częstochowa xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.3 – 1.7 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗46%2.192.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.53
Draw no betRaków Częstochowa (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreRaków Częstochowa to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Motor Lublin – last 6

DWWDLL
23 Octvs Zaglebie Lubin2–2D
17 Octvs Slask Wroclaw3–2W
12 Oct@ Radomiak Radom3–2W
19 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze0–0D
11 Sep@ Raków Częstochowa1–2L
5 Sepvs Legia Warszawa2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

LWLWLL
24 Oct@ Wisla Krakow1–2L
16 Oct@ Wieczysta Kraków2–1W
9 Octvs GKS Katowice1–4L
2 Octvs Polonia Bytom4–1W
19 Sep@ Korona Kielce2–3L
15 Sepvs Zaglebie Lubin2–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Sep 2026Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin2–1
Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Górnik Łęczna1 GKS Katowice0 111%4.80X22%3.75266%1.57 1.2–2.8xG 2GKS Katowice to win 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Olimpia Grudziądz0 Nieciecza1 137%2.75X22%3.30242%2.20 3.4–3.6xG GGBoth teams to score 75%@1.62 ✗
FT Piast Gliwice0 Gornik Zabrze0 Pens 1–3 129%3.30X23%3.20249%2.00 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.65 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?

On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raków Częstochowa 46%.

How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?

Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.