Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.77
Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 29 October the Cup brings Polonia Warszawa against Korona Kielce at Stadion Polonii. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Miedz Legnica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Korona Kielce, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over GKS Katowice, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Warszawa 0.4 xG, Korona Kielce 0.6 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Warszawa 34%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 43%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Warszawa 0–0 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Warszawa34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Korona Kielce43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
1.00Expected goals
0.43Polonia Warszawa xG
0.57Korona Kielce xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 0.4 – 0.6 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Korona Kielce (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Warszawa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.77
–
Recent results
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
DWWWWD
23 Oct
vs Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
WLLWLW
24 Oct
vs GKS Katowice
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
1–6
L
11 Oct
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–2
W
15 Sep
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 43%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 0–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avia Świdnik1
Radomiak Radom1
Chrobry Głogów2
Polonia Bytom0
Arka Gdynia1
Stal Rzeszów2
Odra Opole1
Slask Wroclaw1