Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Kharkiv to win ✓75% · @1.15
Double chanceFC Kharkiv or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.85
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Cup brings Mayak Sarny against FC Kharkiv. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Kharkiv, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mayak Sarny 1.0 xG, FC Kharkiv 2.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mayak Sarny 10%, draw 15%, FC Kharkiv 75%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mayak Sarny 1–2 FC Kharkiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mayak Sarny10%fair 10.12 · @10.50
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @6.50
FC Kharkiv75%fair 1.33 · @1.15
3.96Expected goals
1.04Mayak Sarny xG
2.92FC Kharkiv xG
62%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–38%
0–28%
0–38%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Mayak Sarny 1.0 – 2.9 FC Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Kharkiv to win✓
75%
1.33
1.15
Double chance
FC Kharkiv or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Kharkiv (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
FC Kharkiv -1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
First team to score
FC Kharkiv to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
FC Kharkiv ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Kharkiv / FT FC Kharkiv✓
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Mayak Sarny – last 2
WD
8 Sep
@ Bazys
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs SK Poltava
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Kharkiv – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Oct
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–1
W
19 Oct
vs Livyi Bereh
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Chornomorets
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Bukovyna
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Obolon'-Brovar
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mayak Sarny and FC Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
On our numbers Mayak Sarny have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Kharkiv 75%.
How many goals will there be in Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Mayak Sarny 1–2 FC Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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