Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dynamo Kyiv travel to face Shakhtar Donetsk on Tuesday 27 October in the Cup – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zorya Luhansk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dynamo Kyiv, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kudrivka, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 xG, Dynamo Kyiv 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 62%, draw 25%, Dynamo Kyiv 13%.
Lower-risk option: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.30
Dynamo Kyiv13%fair 7.84 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.50Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.50Dynamo Kyiv xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 – 0.5 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
62%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.12
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
DLWWWW
24 Oct
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Inter
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs AEK Athens FC
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
WLWWWW
23 Oct
vs Kudrivka
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Polessya
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Karpaty
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–0
W
14 Sep
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3–0
W
10 Sep
@ Nyva Vinnytsya
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kyiv.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kyiv 13%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Livyi Bereh0
Veres Rivne1