Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 72% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOsmaniyespor to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceOsmaniyespor or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.73
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 18.14
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Cup brings Osmaniyespor against Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Osmaniyespor, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Talasgücü Belediyespor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Osmaniyespor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osmaniyespor 3.8 xG, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 2.2 xG – a total near 6.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 94% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osmaniyespor 62%, draw 22%, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 16%.
Lower-risk option: Osmaniyespor or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 72%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Osmaniyespor or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osmaniyespor 3–2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osmaniyespor62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu16%fair 6.19 · @4.00
6.00Expected goals
3.76Osmaniyespor xG
2.24Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu xG
72%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–26%
4–25%
3–15%
4–15%
2–24%
3–34%
From our goals model: Osmaniyespor 3.8 – 2.2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osmaniyespor to win✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Osmaniyespor or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Osmaniyespor (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Osmaniyespor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Osmaniyespor to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Osmaniyespor ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osmaniyespor / FT Osmaniyespor✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
18.14
–
Recent results
Osmaniyespor – last 6
LLLLWL
3 Oct
vs Talasgücü Belediyespor
2–4
L
26 Sep
@ Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Karaköprü Belediyespor
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Adana Adaletgucu
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs 12 Bingölspor
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu – last 6
LWWWLL
3 Oct
@ Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Diyarbekirspor
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Ağrı 1970
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Bucak Oğuzhanspor
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Talasgücü Belediyespor
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osmaniyespor and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
What is the prediction for Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Our pick is Osmaniyespor or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
On our numbers Osmaniyespor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Our predicted score is Osmaniyespor 3–2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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