Value bet: Mes Rafsanjan to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMes Rafsanjan to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓20% · fair 5.04
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Monday 12 October: Mes Kerman v Mes Rafsanjan in the Azadegan League. In the table, Mes Kerman are 13th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Mes Rafsanjan are 4th (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Mes Kerman, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Niroye Zamini, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Mes Rafsanjan, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ario Eslamshahr, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mes Rafsanjan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Mes Kerman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mes Kerman 0.6 xG, Mes Rafsanjan 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mes Kerman 31%, draw 26%, Mes Rafsanjan 43%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Mes Rafsanjan to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mes Kerman 0–0 Mes Rafsanjan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mes Kerman31%fair 3.20 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.65
Mes Rafsanjan43%fair 2.35 · @2.75
1.36Expected goals
0.59Mes Kerman xG
0.78Mes Rafsanjan xG
45%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–026%
0–120%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Mes Kerman 0.6 – 0.8 Mes Rafsanjan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Rafsanjan to win✓
43%
2.35
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.44
Draw no bet
Mes Rafsanjan (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Mes Kerman +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.98 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Mes Rafsanjan to score first✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
20%
5.04
–
Recent results
Mes Kerman – last 6
DDLDLD
5 Oct
@ Niroye Zamini
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Saipa
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sanat Naft
0–1
L
3 Jul
vs Naft Bandar Abbas
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mes Rafsanjan – last 6
WWDDLW
5 Oct
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Paykan
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Kerman and Mes Rafsanjan.
What is the prediction for Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan?
On our numbers Mes Kerman have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mes Rafsanjan 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our predicted score is Mes Kerman 0–0 Mes Rafsanjan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
