Value bet: Naft Gachsaran to win @ 3.08 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaft Gachsaran to win ✓37% · @3.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the Azadegan League brings Naft Gachsaran against Mes Kerman. Kick-off: 14:15 WAT. In the table, Naft Gachsaran are 8th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Mes Kerman are 13th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Naft Gachsaran, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Saipa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Mes Kerman, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shahin Bandar Ameri, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Naft Gachsaran, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Mes Kerman.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Mes Kerman 0–0 Naft Gachsaran.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Gachsaran 0.8 xG, Mes Kerman 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Gachsaran 37%, draw 26%, Mes Kerman 36%.
Price worth noting: Naft Gachsaran to win @3.08 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Mes Kerman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Gachsaran37%fair 2.68 · @3.08
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.67
Mes Kerman36%fair 2.74 · @2.43
1.59Expected goals
0.80Naft Gachsaran xG
0.79Mes Kerman xG
40%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Naft Gachsaran 0.8 – 0.8 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Naft Gachsaran have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mes Kerman 36%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
